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Pakistan: The New Afghanistan?

Pakistan: The New Afghanistan?

By Rachna Bura

Shifting Sands in the New Great Game

Echoes of the Past: Afghanistan – Where superpowers bellicose while the nation lost its future.

The Cold War found its battleground in Afghanistan, and that battleground never healed. After the Soviet invasion of 1979, Afghanistan became the arena of a relentless clash with the United States. Progress, growth and stability were lost to perpetual conflict. At the heart of the U.S.–Soviet confrontation lay the quandary of influence, control of energy , resources and a strategic foothold in the region.

Two swords in one Sheath :Balochistan being The Resource Chessboard

Balochistan, covering nearly 44% of Pakistan’s landmass but home to just 6% of its population, is both resource-rich and strategically vital. Copper & Gold Deposits , Coal and Gas and strategic Gwadar Port will eventually turn up as Bane rather than Boon for the Balochis.

In Balochistan’s deserts and deep-sea ports, the next great contest is already taking shape. China’s $62 billion CPEC investment ties its future to Pakistan’s infrastructure and maritime access. The U.S., while lacking a physical footprint, seeks resources, alternative energy corridors and strategic counterweights to Beijing’s influence. Withal , US carries a trademarked legacy of eternally perdurable chaos—on arrival and departure alike.
Pakistan’s fragile economy and simmering insurgency make it dangerously vulnerable to becoming the new Afghanistan—a pawn in a larger power struggle, creating an intersecting and overlapping zone of allure. The question is not if, but when, these two global powers will evince fretting .

India’s Strategic Calling: The Warning of History and The Urgency of Now

Afghanistan’s tragedy shows how superpowers devastate fragile states in pursuit of influence. Pakistan now risks the same fate, with Balochistan as the epicenter of U.S.–China rivalry.For India, the lesson is urgent: prepare now, act decisively and secure national interests .India has barely 2–3 years to prepare, position and project strength before the storm hits.

Never Be a Spectator in Neighborhood Conflicts

It is time to wake up to hard realities — to smell the coffee while the pot boils over next door. Long-term national security interests demand bold pursuit, even if it means turning one neighbour into four. The strategic calling is clear, but short-sightedness will be fatal. Sitting on the sidelines leaves India vulnerable .Strategic restraint will no longer be an option — it is a missed opportunity. The clock is ticking and the window of action will be narrow with no time to brace for it to engender India scrambling for strategic stroke . With conflict brewing right next door, India must push the fires away spatially and exploit them militarily and geopolitically hence stride and not waddle …

“The time to repair your roof is when the sun is shining”

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